Scenario-modelling to secure biodiversity and ecosystem services under uncertainty: Insights from Peru and Switzerland

Conservation planning
Ecosystem Services
Uncertainty
Biodiversity
Scenarios
Switzerland
Peru
Authors

Ben Black

Adrienne Grêt-Regamey

Manuel Kurmann

Published

June 16, 2026

These are the slides, I gave at the World Biodiversity Forum in Davos, for the workshop: From risk to resilience: How micro- & macro nature-related scenarios support safeguarding financial stability. This workshop was convened by representatives from the funders of our research project NASCENT-Peru: Maud Abdelli (WWF International), Eloi Astier (Axa research), Christos Karydas (EY), and Oliver Schelske (SwissRE). It was great to also see the research done by other projects that were funded in the initiative to develop scenarios in different regions of the world. After the presentations we were part of a panel discussion where we had the opportunity to discuss the challenges and opportunities of ensuring uptake of BES scenarios within the financial sector. We were fortunate enough to get some very insightful questions from the audience so much so that we even ran out of time to answer them all.